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Red120
300654.4
972615.5
156929.4
Blue65
156623.1
1039513.8
366925.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8265204010012014012065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +50
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
12Processor points0
24Net points8
36Algae points8
83Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points2
120Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.43.2
38.241.4
Auto13.1
Teleop33.6
End7.6
red by 28.5
3669
#41
25.90.4
21.922.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.0
End5.6
Second
1569
#20
29.43.2
21.925.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End4.9
red by 6.3
1566
#44
23.10.4
19.820.2
Auto4.5
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Third
9726
#25
15.55.3
12.017.3
Auto1.6
Teleop12.2
End1.7
red by 1.7
13.80.4
17.718.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned