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Red150
304568.6
931418.0
212263.7
Blue112
324329.4
855.6
888519.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15410250200150112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+12Teleop
+30Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points26
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#10
59Coral points36
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
6Processor points24
16Net points20
22Algae points44
81Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
8Foul points0
150Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.2
63.263.4
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
red by 13.0
8
#10
55.60.7
50.250.9
Auto15.0
Teleop34.0
End6.6
Second
63.70.2
57.357.4
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
red by 34.3
3243
#21
29.40.7
24.725.4
Auto4.4
Teleop22.6
End2.3
Third
9314
#45
18.00.3
12.913.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
blue by 1.9
8885
#47
19.90.7
21.722.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed