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Red37
855116.4
639030.2
587114.1
Blue165
300654.4
494439.2
281354.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54144010020025037165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+94
Endgame+112
Fouls+128
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points15
13Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +83
3Coral scored#20
10Coral points71
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
18Total teleop101
Reef
2L4#10
2L3#8
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +128
0Foul points16
37Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#43
30.21.9
22.520.6
Auto7.5
Teleop20.8
End1.9
blue by 24.2
54.41.3
41.442.7
Auto13.1
Teleop33.6
End7.6
Second
8551
#39
16.43.1
18.315.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.7
blue by 37.7
54.11.3
45.747.0
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
Third
5871
#51
14.13.1
19.116.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 25.1
4944
#14
39.21.3
36.637.9
Auto4.4
Teleop29.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned