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Red94
11536.8
417533.8
156929.4
Blue72
213021.7
635838.3
324540.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851040501502009472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+28Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +22
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
75Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points6
94Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#19
36.81.0
27.028.0
Auto4.4
Teleop28.7
End3.7
blue by 3.7
3245
#38
40.51.7
39.838.1
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
Second
4175
#17
33.81.0
27.428.3
Auto5.9
Teleop22.7
End5.1
blue by 4.5
6358
#32
38.32.8
32.129.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.8
End3.6
Third
1569
#20
29.41.0
25.126.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End4.9
red by 7.7
2130
#18
21.72.8
19.716.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed