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Red144
156623.1
385922.7
35983.9
Blue45
875614.8
944916.4
931418.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13146010015020014445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+73Teleop
+75Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
20Coral scored#8
72Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
86Total teleop34
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
24Foul points0
144Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
83.90.1
73.973.8
Auto19.0
Teleop51.4
End13.5
red by 65.9
9314
#45
18.02.0
16.814.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Second
1566
#44
23.10.2
15.715.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.2
End2.3
red by 6.7
9449
#37
16.41.5
14.112.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Third
3859
#16
22.70.1
16.015.8
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 7.8
8756
#50
14.82.0
15.013.0
Auto1.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed