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Red105
593323.0
904430.5
330945.3
Blue42
417533.8
833818.0
189124.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745920408010012010542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +43
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
73Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points0
105Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.31.9
36.938.7
Auto13.9
Teleop23.4
End8.1
red by 11.5
4175
#17
33.81.4
24.322.9
Auto5.9
Teleop22.7
End5.1
Second
30.52.3
20.522.8
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End4.5
red by 5.7
1891
#27
24.91.4
20.419.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.6
End3.6
Third
5933
#30
23.02.1
11.013.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End0.7
red by 4.9
8338
#46
18.01.5
12.611.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed