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Red107
39938.3
888519.9
212263.7
Blue100
321649.1
635838.3
924310.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12985204060100120140160180107100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +8
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
68Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#4
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
107Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.70.6
55.855.2
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
red by 14.6
3216
#28
49.11.2
35.937.1
Auto9.1
Teleop37.8
End2.2
Second
399
#35
38.30.8
33.132.3
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End5.0
Level
6358
#32
38.31.7
22.824.5
Auto6.9
Teleop27.8
End3.6
Third
8885
#47
19.90.7
19.418.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End3.3
red by 9.0
9243
#49
10.91.7
17.218.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed