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Red83
19232.1
904430.5
944916.4
Blue53
68727.7
1039513.8
875614.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7670506080901001101208353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
10Coral scored#6
36Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
54Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points6
83Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#15
32.10.9
20.721.6
Auto4.9
Teleop23.3
End3.9
red by 4.4
687
#29
27.70.8
25.724.9
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.8
Second
30.50.9
24.825.7
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End4.5
red by 15.7
8756
#50
14.81.4
12.411.0
Auto1.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
9449
#37
16.40.9
18.018.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.1
red by 2.6
13.81.4
21.319.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed