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Red66
324540.5
875614.8
924310.9
Blue114
69659.8
300654.4
973715.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641305010015020066114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+44
Endgame+54
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +27
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points58
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
43Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
6Foul points0
66Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#38
40.50.6
39.639.0
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
blue by 19.3
696
#6
59.80.1
52.452.3
Auto13.3
Teleop43.4
End3.1
Second
8756
#50
14.81.0
11.010.0
Auto1.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 39.6
54.40.1
46.046.0
Auto13.1
Teleop33.6
End7.6
Third
9243
#49
10.91.0
18.317.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
blue by 4.9
9737
#31
15.80.1
16.816.7
Auto2.2
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned