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Red62
883937.3
855018.5
972615.5
Blue91
114853.5
855116.4
904430.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78932040601001201406291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points50
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
12Processor points0
4Net points12
16Algae points12
51Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
62Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8839
#33
37.31.3
34.833.5
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End1.1
blue by 16.2
53.50.4
45.946.3
Auto9.7
Teleop36.9
End6.9
Second
8550
#36
18.51.3
23.422.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.8
blue by 12.1
30.50.4
25.325.7
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End4.5
Third
9726
#25
15.51.3
15.814.5
Auto1.6
Teleop12.2
End1.7
blue by 0.8
8551
#39
16.40.7
13.714.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned