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Red54
328811.9
833818.0
763417.2
Blue124
324329.4
944916.4
11536.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4493020608012014016054124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+76
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +69
7Coral scored#21
25Coral points76
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
0Processor points6
8Net points20
8Algae points26
33Total teleop102
Reef
2L4#10
4L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#29
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
54Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8338
#46
18.00.1
14.013.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.9
End1.9
blue by 18.8
115
#19
36.82.1
30.032.1
Auto4.4
Teleop28.7
End3.7
Second
7634
#26
17.20.1
19.219.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
blue by 12.2
3243
#21
29.42.1
26.428.5
Auto4.4
Teleop22.6
End2.3
Third
3288
#48
11.90.1
10.410.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 4.5
9449
#37
16.42.1
18.921.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed