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Red31
763417.2
924310.9
944916.4
Blue105
213021.7
304568.6
855116.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6112305010015020031105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+72
Endgame+86
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +48
2Coral scored#12
8Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
8Total teleop56
Reef
1L4#7
0L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
12Foul points0
31Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7634
#26
17.22.7
19.116.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
blue by 51.4
68.60.1
65.365.4
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
Second
9449
#37
16.42.7
21.018.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 5.3
2130
#18
21.70.1
21.321.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End4.9
Third
9243
#49
10.94.3
17.313.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
blue by 5.4
8551
#39
16.40.1
14.314.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned