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Red64
68727.7
156623.1
328811.9
Blue114
973715.8
212263.7
855018.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55116010015064114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
36Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points12
64Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#29
27.70.5
25.726.2
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.8
blue by 35.9
63.70.2
59.960.1
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
Second
1566
#44
23.10.7
20.921.6
Auto4.5
Teleop16.2
End2.3
red by 4.6
8550
#36
18.50.4
22.022.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Third
3288
#48
11.90.5
10.310.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 4.0
9737
#31
15.80.4
16.717.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned