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Red161
972615.5
35983.9
904430.5
Blue127
639030.2
1044815.7
321649.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1399050100150200161127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#18
52Coral points64
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
30Processor points12
20Net points16
50Algae points28
102Total teleop92
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#29
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
161Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
83.92.0
78.880.9
Auto19.0
Teleop51.4
End13.5
red by 34.8
3216
#28
49.11.9
44.446.4
Auto9.1
Teleop37.8
End2.2
Second
30.52.0
25.727.8
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End4.5
red by 0.3
6390
#43
30.21.9
25.527.4
Auto7.5
Teleop20.8
End1.9
Third
9726
#25
15.53.2
14.517.7
Auto1.6
Teleop12.2
End1.7
blue by 0.2
15.73.0
16.619.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed