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Red85
635838.3
324329.4
964918.3
Blue87
875614.8
593323.0
546124.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8455020401001201401608587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
64Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points0
85Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6358
#32
38.30.5
27.127.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.8
End3.6
red by 13.5
5461
#11
24.81.8
21.423.2
Auto5.3
Teleop15.5
End4.0
Second
3243
#21
29.40.3
28.528.8
Auto4.4
Teleop22.6
End2.3
red by 6.4
5933
#30
23.01.8
19.421.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End0.7
Third
9649
#42
18.30.3
16.416.8
Auto2.9
Teleop13.4
End2.1
red by 3.5
8756
#50
14.82.9
10.012.9
Auto1.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed