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Red97
931418.0
883937.3
19232.1
Blue131
39938.3
636439.3
417533.8
11%Model gave it89%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711125010015097131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+12
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points21
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
77Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
97Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8839
#33
37.32.6
33.536.1
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End1.1
blue by 1.9
6364
#24
39.31.9
35.637.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End4.8
Second
192
#15
32.11.7
26.528.2
Auto4.9
Teleop23.3
End3.9
blue by 6.2
399
#35
38.31.9
33.835.7
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End5.0
Third
9314
#45
18.02.6
9.612.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
blue by 15.8
4175
#17
33.81.9
29.631.5
Auto5.9
Teleop22.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned