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Red58
587114.1
385922.7
789527.1
Blue75
330945.3
324540.5
1039513.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601160501001505875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
39Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
58Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7895
#23
27.10.5
27.026.5
Auto4.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
blue by 18.2
45.32.0
45.643.6
Auto13.9
Teleop23.4
End8.1
Second
3859
#16
22.70.5
21.521.1
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 17.9
3245
#38
40.52.0
39.037.0
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
Third
5871
#51
14.10.7
13.312.6
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End2.0
red by 0.2
13.83.1
17.814.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsMissed