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Red216
304568.6
35983.9
156929.4
Blue119
904430.5
69659.8
328811.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2019250150250300216119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+63Teleop
+85Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave3
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points13
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
24Coral scored#15
85Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
117Total teleop89
Reef
11L4#6
9L3#3
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#26
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
12Foul points0
216Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
83.90.8
80.981.7
Auto19.0
Teleop51.4
End13.5
red by 24.0
696
#6
59.81.1
55.456.5
Auto13.3
Teleop43.4
End3.1
Second
68.60.8
65.466.2
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
red by 38.1
30.51.1
27.828.8
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End4.5
Third
1569
#20
29.40.8
28.629.4
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End4.9
red by 17.6
3288
#48
11.91.1
10.811.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned