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Red113
212263.7
875614.8
855116.4
Blue144
114853.5
330945.3
636439.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8714350100200113144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points46
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
77Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#11
5L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
113Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.71.3
60.161.5
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
red by 10.1
53.50.5
49.449.9
Auto9.7
Teleop36.9
End6.9
Second
8551
#39
16.41.9
14.516.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.7
blue by 28.9
45.30.5
43.644.2
Auto13.9
Teleop23.4
End8.1
Third
8756
#50
14.81.9
12.914.8
Auto1.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 24.4
6364
#24
39.30.5
37.638.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned