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Red101
763417.2
883937.3
39938.3
Blue103
68727.7
324540.5
964918.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9786406080120140160101103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
76Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
101Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#35
38.30.9
35.736.6
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End5.0
blue by 2.3
3245
#38
40.51.5
37.038.5
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
Second
8839
#33
37.31.2
36.137.3
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 9.6
687
#29
27.71.5
26.227.7
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.8
Third
7634
#26
17.20.9
16.317.2
Auto2.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
blue by 1.1
9649
#42
18.31.5
16.818.3
Auto2.9
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed