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Red114
639030.2
459826.6
833818.0
Blue147
635838.3
300654.4
931418.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6997050150114147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points18
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +23
14Coral scored#21
51Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
18Processor points12
12Net points16
30Algae points28
81Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#11
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
114Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#43
30.22.8
27.430.2
Auto7.5
Teleop20.8
End1.9
blue by 24.2
54.44.0
46.750.7
Auto13.1
Teleop33.6
End7.6
Second
4598
#22
26.62.8
23.926.6
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End2.0
blue by 11.7
6358
#32
38.35.8
27.633.4
Auto6.9
Teleop27.8
End3.6
Third
8338
#46
18.02.8
15.318.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Level
9314
#45
18.05.8
12.218.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned