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Red73
972615.5
855.6
944916.4
Blue135
259427.4
648745.2
593323.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079805015020025030073135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+52
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points11
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +48
9Coral scored#15
33Coral points53
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#6
12Processor points24
8Net points24
20Algae points48
53Total teleop101
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
73Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#10
55.61.9
56.354.5
Auto15.0
Teleop34.0
End6.6
red by 10.4
6487
#13
45.22.6
41.544.0
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End6.9
Second
9449
#37
16.41.9
18.316.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 11.0
2594
#12
27.42.6
25.628.2
Auto4.8
Teleop19.6
End3.1
Third
9726
#25
15.52.7
17.714.9
Auto1.6
Teleop12.2
End1.7
blue by 7.4
5933
#30
23.02.6
21.223.8
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned