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Red55
385922.7
189124.9
1039513.8
Blue50
924310.9
888519.9
11536.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67802040601001201405550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+1
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#8
20Coral points30
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
24Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
55Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#27
24.90.6
25.524.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.6
End3.6
blue by 11.9
115
#19
36.81.5
34.933.4
Auto4.4
Teleop28.7
End3.7
Second
3859
#16
22.70.6
21.120.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 2.8
8885
#47
19.91.5
21.419.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End3.3
Third
13.80.8
14.713.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End4.0
red by 2.9
9243
#49
10.92.2
13.110.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed