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Red119
281354.1
417533.8
213021.7
Blue123
546124.8
304568.6
972615.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11212080100140160119123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+12
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
24Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#21
49Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
71Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
119Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.11.1
51.052.1
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
blue by 14.6
68.60.4
66.266.6
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
Second
4175
#17
33.81.1
31.532.6
Auto5.9
Teleop22.7
End5.1
red by 9.0
5461
#11
24.80.4
23.223.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.5
End4.0
Third
2130
#18
21.71.4
20.221.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End4.9
red by 6.1
9726
#25
15.50.6
14.915.5
Auto1.6
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned