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Red201
35983.9
385922.7
212263.7
Blue67
494439.2
259427.4
593323.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194915015025020167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+104Teleop
+116Endgame
+134Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +76
21Coral scored#7
77Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
12Processor points0
24Net points12
36Algae points12
113Total teleop37
Reef
16L4#3
6L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +134
18Foul points0
201Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
83.90.4
81.782.1
Auto19.0
Teleop51.4
End13.5
red by 44.7
4944
#14
39.20.6
40.039.5
Auto4.4
Teleop29.5
End5.3
Second
63.70.4
61.561.9
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
red by 36.3
2594
#12
27.40.6
28.227.7
Auto4.8
Teleop19.6
End3.1
Third
3859
#16
22.70.4
20.520.9
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 0.3
5933
#30
23.00.6
23.823.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End0.7