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Red144
636439.3
546124.8
648745.2
Blue155
39938.3
904430.5
321649.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118126050100150200250300144155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points33
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +8
19Coral scored#24
68Coral points88
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
98Total teleop106
Reef
11L4#12
6L3#9
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
144Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6487
#13
45.20.8
44.445.2
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End6.9
blue by 3.9
3216
#28
49.10.8
47.948.8
Auto9.1
Teleop37.8
End2.2
Second
6364
#24
39.30.8
38.539.3
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End4.8
red by 1.0
399
#35
38.30.8
37.137.9
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End5.0
Third
5461
#11
24.80.8
24.124.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.5
End4.0
blue by 5.7
30.50.8
29.430.2
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End4.5