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Red194
35983.9
385922.7
212263.7
Blue142
11536.8
19232.1
69659.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18712550100150200250194142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +30
26Coral scored#22
93Coral points79
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
131Total teleop101
Reef
11L4#13
7L3#6
9L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#33
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
194Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
83.90.6
82.182.7
Auto19.0
Teleop51.4
End13.5
red by 24.0
696
#6
59.80.5
57.357.8
Auto13.3
Teleop43.4
End3.1
Second
63.70.6
61.962.5
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
red by 26.9
115
#19
36.80.5
34.334.8
Auto4.4
Teleop28.7
End3.7
Third
3859
#16
22.70.6
20.921.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 9.4
192
#15
32.10.5
29.630.1
Auto4.9
Teleop23.3
End3.9