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Red173
304568.6
324540.5
281354.1
Blue200
114853.5
300654.4
635838.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167142050100200250300350173200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points34
33Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +12
17Coral scored#29
62Coral points104
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
30Processor points12
32Net points20
62Algae points32
124Total teleop136
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#13
5L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
173Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.4
66.667.0
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
red by 14.3
54.41.4
51.753.0
Auto13.1
Teleop33.6
End7.6
Second
54.10.4
52.052.4
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
red by 0.5
53.51.4
50.852.2
Auto9.7
Teleop36.9
End6.9
Third
3245
#38
40.50.4
38.538.9
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
red by 2.2
6358
#32
38.31.9
34.636.5
Auto6.9
Teleop27.8
End3.6