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Red181
11536.8
19232.1
69659.8
Blue132
39938.3
904430.5
321649.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135125100150200181132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+41Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +44
28Coral scored#20
102Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
144Total teleop100
Reef
12L4#9
8L3#6
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
181Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#6
59.81.3
57.859.1
Auto13.3
Teleop43.4
End3.1
red by 10.7
3216
#28
49.10.3
48.849.1
Auto9.1
Teleop37.8
End2.2
Second
115
#19
36.81.3
34.836.1
Auto4.4
Teleop28.7
End3.7
blue by 1.5
399
#35
38.30.3
37.938.3
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End5.0
Third
192
#15
32.11.3
30.131.4
Auto4.9
Teleop23.3
End3.9
red by 1.5
30.50.3
30.230.5
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End4.5