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Red195
11233.2
202253.1
928045.5
Blue178
11178.1
233872.9
802922.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13218950100150200250195178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +38
0Leave3
3Coral scored#10
13Coral points48
13Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +47
27Coral scored#17
98Coral points61
4Processor algae#5
10Net algae#6
24Processor points30
40Net points24
64Algae points54
162Total teleop115
Reef
15L4#13
5L3#6
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +17
16Foul points6
195Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.11.1
51.652.8
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
blue by 25.0
111
#1
78.10.1
76.676.7
Auto17.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
Second
9280
#31
45.51.1
44.045.1
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
blue by 27.4
72.90.1
71.571.5
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
Third
112
#18
33.21.1
31.732.8
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
red by 10.3
8029
#34
22.90.1
21.321.3
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9