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Red125
11233.2
202253.1
928045.5
Blue203
11178.1
233872.9
802922.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13618750100150200250125203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+52
Endgame+74
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +34
0Leave0
2Coral scored#9
10Coral points44
10Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +18
25Coral scored#24
91Coral points87
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
6Processor points12
12Net points28
18Algae points40
109Total teleop127
Reef
10L4#13
5L3#9
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +78
2Foul points6
125Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.2
52.852.6
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
blue by 25.0
111
#1
78.10.6
76.777.3
Auto17.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
Second
9280
#31
45.50.2
45.145.0
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
blue by 27.4
72.90.6
71.572.1
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
Third
112
#18
33.20.2
32.832.7
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
red by 10.3
8029
#34
22.90.7
21.322.0
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9