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Red153
11233.2
202253.1
928045.5
Blue213
11178.1
233872.9
802922.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13518950100150200250153213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+32
Endgame+54
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +32
3Leave0
3Coral scored#10
16Coral points51
19Total auto51
Teleoperatedlevel
26Coral scored#27
94Coral points96
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
18Processor points24
20Net points12
38Algae points36
132Total teleop132
Reef
12L4#11
9L3#8
5L2#10
3L1 · trough#8
37Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points6
153Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.5
52.653.1
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
blue by 25.0
111
#1
78.10.8
77.378.1
Auto17.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
Second
9280
#31
45.50.5
45.045.5
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
blue by 27.4
72.90.8
72.172.9
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
Third
112
#18
33.20.5
32.733.2
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
red by 10.3
8029
#34
22.90.9
22.022.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9