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Red97
512517.0
202253.1
263845.9
Blue68
302323.1
802922.9
582224.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1125601001502009768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
15Coral scored#7
55Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
79Total teleop33
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
97Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.1
43.343.2
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
red by 28.3
5822
#27
24.80.7
23.424.2
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
Second
45.90.1
32.232.1
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End6.8
red by 22.7
3023
#20
23.10.8
11.312.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Third
5125
#32
17.00.1
16.916.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End1.5
blue by 5.9
8029
#34
22.91.0
19.320.3
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned