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Red98
478725.6
32348.9
486325.1
Blue98
464529.7
233872.9
409651.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651380501001502009898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
60Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points6
98Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#3
48.9
Auto8.0
Teleop36.1
End4.7
blue by 24.0
72.9
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
Second
25.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.9
End6.1
blue by 25.9
51.6
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
Third
4863
#16
25.1
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.3
blue by 4.7
4645
#25
29.7
Auto6.2
Teleop21.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned