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Red92
966914.6
414356.2
720110.4
Blue38
306720.9
429623.2
17392.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1195401001502009238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+52Teleop
+60Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
58Total teleop17
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points6
92Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.3
61.561.2
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
red by 33.0
4296
#29
23.22.4
17.815.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Second
9669
#28
14.60.4
16.215.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.1
blue by 6.4
3067
#14
20.91.8
20.618.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Third
7201
#35
10.40.4
18.317.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.3
red by 7.8
1739
#30
2.62.4
15.513.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned