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Red92
470217.9
886315.6
969254.5
Blue112
888042.0
812235.7
928045.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110602040608012014016092112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +26
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
52Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points0
92Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#10
54.51.5
37.238.7
Auto18.3
Teleop30.8
End5.5
red by 9.0
9280
#31
45.51.1
34.735.8
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Second
4702
#17
17.91.9
16.618.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 24.1
8880
#11
42.01.1
31.432.5
Auto6.1
Teleop31.2
End4.7
Third
8863
#37
15.61.9
15.517.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End0.1
blue by 20.1
8122
#22
35.71.5
29.230.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned