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Red110
756027.0
215122.5
178138.8
Blue54
1043542.5
1045816.3
1021420.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7693406010012014011054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+46Teleop
+36Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +36
15Coral scored#7
54Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
70Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
20Foul points0
110Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#13
38.80.5
35.636.1
Auto6.8
Teleop31.7
End0.4
blue by 3.7
42.52.4
41.639.2
Auto3.8
Teleop33.0
End5.7
Second
7560
#21
27.00.8
17.718.5
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End1.4
red by 6.6
20.43.5
21.918.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
2151
#15
22.50.8
17.418.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End-0.5
red by 6.2
16.32.6
16.313.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned