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Red67
4824.5
11233.2
94946.6
Blue23
17392.6
1043542.5
470217.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797740601001206723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+24Teleop
+46Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +11
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
25Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#4
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points2
67Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112
#18
33.20.1
19.519.6
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
blue by 9.4
42.53.3
39.235.9
Auto3.8
Teleop33.0
End5.7
Second
48
#26
24.50.1
27.827.9
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End4.7
red by 6.6
4702
#17
17.95.5
18.512.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Third
9494
#38
6.60.2
18.318.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.1
End0.4
red by 4.1
1739
#30
2.65.5
13.07.5
Auto2.3
Teleop0.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed