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Red103
886315.6
306152.6
178138.8
Blue57
1021420.4
802922.9
478725.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10760020408010012014010357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+62Teleop
+50Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +48
13Coral scored#4
47Coral points13
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
67Total teleop19
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
2Foul points6
103Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.3
38.438.7
Auto14.9
Teleop33.1
End4.7
red by 27.0
25.61.4
19.318.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.9
End6.1
Second
1781
#13
38.80.2
36.136.3
Auto6.8
Teleop31.7
End0.4
red by 15.9
8029
#34
22.91.4
20.318.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Third
8863
#37
15.60.4
17.417.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End0.1
blue by 4.8
20.41.1
18.417.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned