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Red78
215122.5
1043825.2
414356.2
Blue70
263845.9
302323.1
369519.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13277501001502007870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
55Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
78Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.22.1
61.259.1
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
red by 10.4
45.90.3
32.131.7
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End6.8
Second
25.22.8
27.324.5
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
red by 2.0
3023
#20
23.10.3
12.011.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Third
2151
#15
22.53.5
18.214.7
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End-0.5
red by 2.9
3695
#33
19.60.4
26.726.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed