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Red122
429623.2
486325.1
233872.9
Blue108
969254.5
756027.0
512517.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10976204060100120140160180122108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
43Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
75Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points0
122Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.91.4
61.963.3
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
red by 18.4
9692
#10
54.52.4
38.741.0
Auto18.3
Teleop30.8
End5.5
Second
4863
#16
25.15.2
25.119.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.3
blue by 2.0
7560
#21
27.03.2
18.521.7
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End1.4
Third
4296
#29
23.22.1
15.417.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.9
red by 6.2
5125
#32
17.01.9
16.818.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned