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Red103
966914.6
409651.6
928045.5
Blue134
202253.1
464529.7
888042.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93113406080100120140160103134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +19
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points60
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
12Processor points24
20Net points20
32Algae points44
85Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
103Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.3
35.135.5
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
blue by 1.5
53.11.6
43.244.8
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
Second
9280
#31
45.50.3
35.836.2
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
red by 3.4
8880
#11
42.01.6
32.534.2
Auto6.1
Teleop31.2
End4.7
Third
9669
#28
14.60.6
15.716.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.1
blue by 15.2
4645
#25
29.71.6
22.424.0
Auto6.2
Teleop21.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed