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Red76
306720.9
4824.5
720110.4
Blue123
32348.9
582224.8
11233.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7179406010012076123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +48
9Coral scored#16
31Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
41Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points12
76Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#26
24.50.5
27.427.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End4.7
blue by 24.4
323
#3
48.92.1
29.731.8
Auto8.0
Teleop36.1
End4.7
Second
3067
#14
20.90.4
18.819.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 12.2
112
#18
33.22.8
16.719.5
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
Third
7201
#35
10.40.7
17.918.5
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.3
blue by 14.4
5822
#27
24.82.4
24.226.5
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed