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Red35
470217.9
478725.6
756027.0
Blue28
215122.5
306720.9
886315.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62592040801003528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
22Total teleop15
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points0
35Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7560
#21
27.03.1
21.718.6
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End1.4
red by 4.5
2151
#15
22.53.3
14.711.4
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End-0.5
Second
25.63.1
18.014.8
Auto5.7
Teleop13.9
End6.1
red by 4.7
3067
#14
20.92.0
19.217.3
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Third
4702
#17
17.93.1
12.99.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 2.3
8863
#37
15.63.3
17.714.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed