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Red189
11178.1
1045816.3
969254.5
Blue120
414356.2
11233.2
802922.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401056080120160180200189120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+57Teleop
+75Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
3Leave3
10Coral scored#2
48Coral points10
51Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +19
24Coral scored#16
88Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
18Processor points12
8Net points24
26Algae points36
114Total teleop95
Reef
9L4#7
9L3#4
8L2#5
8L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#26
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points6
189Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
78.13.8
68.872.6
Auto17.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 21.8
56.20.3
59.159.5
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Second
9692
#10
54.53.8
41.044.8
Auto18.3
Teleop30.8
End5.5
red by 21.3
112
#18
33.20.4
19.620.0
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
Third
16.35.7
16.622.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End2.5
blue by 6.5
8029
#34
22.90.6
18.919.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned