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Red62
812235.7
1021420.4
965423.7
Blue72
17392.6
582224.8
94946.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835302040601001201406272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +27
9Coral scored#4
31Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
45Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points44
62Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#22
35.70.9
32.731.8
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End7.1
red by 10.9
5822
#27
24.81.6
26.524.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
Second
9654
#24
23.71.3
22.120.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End2.5
red by 17.1
9494
#38
6.62.7
18.515.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Third
20.41.0
17.416.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
red by 17.8
1739
#30
2.62.7
7.54.8
Auto2.3
Teleop0.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed