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Red62
369519.6
928045.5
4824.5
Blue94
1043542.5
966914.6
1043825.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102914060801201401606294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +35
8Coral scored#17
27Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
41Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points6
62Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#31
45.52.9
34.031.1
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
red by 3.0
42.50.0
35.135.1
Auto3.8
Teleop33.0
End5.7
Second
48
#26
24.52.9
27.224.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End4.7
blue by 0.7
25.20.0
23.423.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
Third
3695
#33
19.64.9
26.821.9
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End0.5
red by 5.0
9669
#28
14.60.0
19.419.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned