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Red195
306152.6
233872.9
215122.5
Blue51
886315.6
720110.4
429623.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14143010020019551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+47Auto
+132Teleop
+144Endgame
+144Fouls
AutonomousRed +47
0Leave6
11Coral scored#1
57Coral points4
57Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +85
26Coral scored#8
92Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
124Total teleop39
Reef
16L4#3
11L3#2
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
44Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +144
0Foul points0
195Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.94.8
65.970.7
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
red by 49.7
4296
#29
23.20.4
19.619.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Second
52.64.8
40.144.9
Auto14.9
Teleop33.1
End4.7
red by 37.0
8863
#37
15.60.4
14.414.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End0.1
Third
2151
#15
22.58.0
11.419.4
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End-0.5
red by 12.1
7201
#35
10.40.4
14.914.5
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed