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Red178
202253.1
11178.1
11233.2
Blue126
263845.9
888042.0
478725.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1648750100150200250178126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+62Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +55
32Coral scored#18
115Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
147Total teleop92
Reef
13L4#10
11L3#6
8L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
178Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
78.11.9
72.674.5
Auto17.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 32.2
45.92.1
33.235.2
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End6.8
Second
53.11.9
45.147.1
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
red by 11.1
8880
#11
42.02.1
36.038.1
Auto6.1
Teleop31.2
End4.7
Third
112
#18
33.21.9
20.021.9
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
red by 7.5
25.63.4
14.818.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned