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Red79
802922.9
470217.9
32348.9
Blue26
1045816.3
302323.1
17392.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7537020601001201407926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+51Teleop
+55Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
63Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points2
79Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#3
48.90.7
33.734.3
Auto8.0
Teleop36.1
End4.7
red by 25.7
3023
#20
23.11.2
9.38.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Second
8029
#34
22.91.1
19.520.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
red by 6.5
16.32.0
22.320.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
4702
#17
17.91.1
9.810.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 15.3
1739
#30
2.62.0
4.82.8
Auto2.3
Teleop0.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed